Is It a Buyer’s Market, a Seller’s Market… or Nobody’s Market? Here’s What It Means for Northern Virginia

Northern Virginia housing Market Maggie Hatfield December 13, 2025

Buying a home isn’t easy right now. Rates are higher than anyone wants, prices feel like they’ve been stuck on fast-forward for the past three years, and every national headline seems to contradict the one before it. So if you’ve been waiting for a “clearer picture” before making your move in Northern Virginia… you’re not alone.

The good news? Mortgage rates have come down to around 6.3%. The challenge? Buyer activity has spiked right along with it. And figuring out what that means for your plans can feel like trying to decode the stock market in the dark.

Recently, Ryan Serhant—yes, the same Ryan from Netflix’s Owning Manhattan—joined FOX Business to explain what’s happening in the housing market right now. And one thing he said might surprise you:

“This isn’t a buyer’s market or a seller’s market. It’s nobody’s market because no one knows what to do.”

So let’s break down what this actually means for Northern Virginia, using fresh 2025 data from Loudoun County as an anchor point.

Local Market Snapshot: What Loudoun County Tells Us

Loudoun is often a leading indicator for the broader Northern Virginia market—movement here usually hints at what’s coming across the region.

  • Median Sold Price: $735,000
  • Active Listings: 365
  • Days on Market: 28
  • Current Mortgage Rates: ~6.3%

Translation? Prices remain elevated, inventory is tight but not frozen, and homes that are well-priced still move quickly. This is not a stalled market—it’s a selective one.

What You Should Understand About Today’s Mortgage Rates

Buyers feel uncertain about affordability. Sellers worry about giving up their low existing rates. Everyone seems to be waiting for someone else to act first. But here’s the reality:

Rates have come down, but experts expect them to hover in the low-6s for a while. Realtor.com’s latest forecast shows stability, not a dramatic drop.

Serhant was blunt about this:

“New normal is not low rates… People are confused that we’re entering a new normal where we’re going to have lower rates. It’s not going to happen.”

Waiting for 3% mortgage rates to return isn’t a strategy. It’s a stall tactic—and it’s costing buyers who are paying rising rents instead of building equity.

Getting Creative: Strategy Is the New Superpower

Today’s market rewards people who use creativity + clarity, not people who sit on the sidelines waiting for the “perfect” moment. Serhant shared a real example that’s increasingly common:

“I was talking to a client who would never do an adjustable-rate mortgage, who now is because they can get it at just over 5%… And they’re not going to be in the house for 5 years anyway.”

This is the heart of winning in Northern Virginia right now: understanding the tools that can make homeownership more attainable without taking on unnecessary risk.

Smart Tools for Today’s Buyers

  • Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) that match how long you actually plan to stay
  • Temporary rate buydowns to ease the first 1–3 years of payments
  • Seller credits to reduce upfront costs or lower monthly payments
  • Expanded search criteria for overlooked communities with less competition

There are more pathways to homeownership than most buyers realize—especially when they’re guided by someone who understands both the math and the strategy.

Finding the Right Home in Northern Virginia

If you’re hoping to buy in 2025, the biggest risk is waiting for a “perfect time” that simply doesn’t exist. Prices aren’t crashing. Rates aren’t plunging. And competition isn’t disappearing.

But that doesn’t mean opportunity isn’t there.

Here’s how Serhant summed it up:

“If you’re paying a lot in rent and you’re looking to build equity… now’s as good a time as any.”

Northern Virginia rewards buyers who understand timing, strategy, and lifestyle fit—not those who wait for headline-perfect conditions. And with Loudoun County acting as a microcosm of the broader region, the buyers who move with intention now often end up with the advantage.

Final Thoughts

“Nobody’s market” doesn’t mean chaos—it means possibility. It means you get to define your own timing. It means strategy matters more than ever. And it means having the right guidance can turn a confusing moment into your opportunity.

If you're serious about buying in Northern Virginia—but you want a plan rooted in data, clarity, and real-world strategy—you deserve someone who treats this like more than a transaction. You deserve someone who knows how to help you win.

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